VANCOUVER ISLAND WINDTALK • Wind Formula for mid-island inlets, any comments?
Page 1 of 2

Wind Formula for mid-island inlets, any comments?

Posted: Fri Jul 09, 2010 7:30 am
by Sandy Beach
This is a question that I had about figuring out what the wind might do in Port Alberni...

For a rough estimate of wind in the mid-island inlets:

Temperature Difference between Tofino (coast) and Port Alberni (valley) and multiply by a factor of three to help predict the wind strength???

ex. Sunday, July 11th: Port Alberni 30 and Tofino 19 = 11 x 3 = 33knots
The bigger the air temp difference, the stronger the wind.

We'll see what materializes with this weekend's winds in Port Alberni.

note: with the valley's heat this week, the water has warmed up a lot in the Alberni inlet.

Posted: Fri Jul 09, 2010 7:53 am
by JL

temp

Posted: Fri Jul 09, 2010 3:02 pm
by duckbill
yup, if its too hot on the coast, no wind at the inlet

Posted: Mon Jul 19, 2010 6:58 pm
by marinmark
is there any forecast info for pa? we are thiniking of tomorrow or wednesday

Posted: Mon Jul 19, 2010 6:58 pm
by marinmark
is there any forecast info for pa? we are thiniking of tomorrow or wednesday

Posted: Mon Jul 19, 2010 7:20 pm
by KUS
tomorrow ok (my guess: 5.5-6.5), wed and thurs the better days 4.5-5.5 according to the model. let see how close I get, Rob 8)

you want westerly flow on the coast and the temp diff between tofino and PA. If Pipers is forecast to go in the morning on NW, very good chance for PA. IF wind for west coast, Tofino, so much the better :arrow:

Posted: Mon Jul 19, 2010 8:05 pm
by eastside
Tip from Gwind.......look for Qualicum winds in the North Georgia Strait forecast. So you know who to blame when it doesn't work.......

Posted: Wed Jul 21, 2010 10:26 pm
by KUS
well, how did Tuesday work out? apparently today musta been 4.5 or 4.7 8)

windometer

Posted: Thu Jul 22, 2010 10:34 am
by windsurf247
Pretty good Kus. We'll have to add the Kus report to the forecast page now too :lol: Tues looked good but never got past about 20 knots. Wed was 27-32 by 4pm but got gusty and fizzled around 6pm when a big cloud rolled in :? Today should be good once the cloud burns off.

Re: Wind Formula for mid-island inlets, any comments?

Posted: Thu Jul 22, 2010 1:28 pm
by Russian Dood
Sandy Beach wrote:
ex. Sunday, July 11th: Port Alberni 30 and Tofino 19 = 11 x 3 = 33knots
I don't get it :? day_of_month x Mont_Num/2 = wind_speed ? :?

So for today July 22 it should give us 22x(6/2)=66 knots?

I dont believe it :P

Re: Wind Formula for mid-island inlets, any comments?

Posted: Thu Jul 22, 2010 1:32 pm
by KUS
Russian Dood wrote:day_of_month ....:P
:lol: and then...certain days of the month totally kill my potential for any sailing permission away from home, doesn't matter how many brownie points I have accummulated :roll:

Posted: Thu Jul 22, 2010 7:01 pm
by saulman
So then applying Murphy's law and the inverse correlation between ability to play and wind speed we have:

day_of_month x Mont_Num/2 + (lunar_cycle^3)/2200 = wind_speed

:wink:

wind confusion

Posted: Fri Jul 23, 2010 10:15 am
by windsurf247
So.....more to figure out still. Wind started late morning yesterday (Thurs), ripping by mid afternoon and dead by 6pm. WTF :?

Posted: Fri Jul 23, 2010 11:09 am
by winddoctor
R&S, what time does it typically blow at WWW? Hope to see you tomorrow!

Chris and Steph.

Posted: Fri Jul 23, 2010 11:35 am
by Skeltic
The last couple of days have been an early blow steady 25 knots starting 11 -12. Getting holy and dieing off around 5 I would imagine more of the same this weekend, however the historical wind starts at 2-4and goes till dark