New El-Nino - what will it do to our wind?

General discussions about the weather, incoming storms and swell, complaining, why is it always so windy at night etc.

User avatar
more force 4
Sponsor
Sponsor
Posts: 1459
Joined: Wed Oct 15, 2003 8:57 am
Location: Victoria, BC
Has thanked: 23 times
Been thanked: 8 times
Contact:

New El-Nino - what will it do to our wind?

Post by more force 4 »

Apparently another El Nino is coming http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/a ... index.html. I understand we will be a little warmer and drier. Does that mean fewer SE? Any info?
User avatar
JL
Posts: 2610
Joined: Thu May 22, 2003 8:57 am
Location: Saanichton / Shirley (French Beach)
Been thanked: 2 times
Contact:

Post by JL »

The first link I've added shows 'El nino' & 'La Nina' Models for us.Note the polar jet is way n. & east of us in 'El Nino' model but winter storms are reduced... this is looking like a kiters winter rather than last years parade of 35+ knot winds. I remember a 'la Nina' winter I called the 'Windy Bitch'. & that was before I knew about C.B. & pre B.W.D. site !!! Here are some links: http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/a ... nter.shtml http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/a ... acts.shtml http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/a ... anim.shtml http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/a ... ml#general
Thermals are good.
User avatar
Mattdog
Posts: 263
Joined: Wed Aug 25, 2004 9:01 am
Location: Parksville

Post by Mattdog »

My gut is telling me doldrums for awhile. Anyone else?
Signature Block.
User avatar
JL
Posts: 2610
Joined: Thu May 22, 2003 8:57 am
Location: Saanichton / Shirley (French Beach)
Been thanked: 2 times
Contact:

Post by JL »

Here is a link for the latest on 'El-Nino' . Note the e-mail link to sign up for updates. http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/a ... o_advisory ' There is an increased probability of observing El Niño-related effects over North America during January-March 2007, including warmer-than-average temperatures over western and central Canada, and over the northern United States, wetter-than-average conditions over portions of the U.S. Gulf Coast and Florida, and drier-than-average conditions in the Ohio Valley and in portions of the Pacific Northwest." http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/a ... sodisc.pdf
Thermals are good.
User avatar
JL
Posts: 2610
Joined: Thu May 22, 2003 8:57 am
Location: Saanichton / Shirley (French Beach)
Been thanked: 2 times
Contact:

Post by JL »

Thermals are good.
User avatar
JL
Posts: 2610
Joined: Thu May 22, 2003 8:57 am
Location: Saanichton / Shirley (French Beach)
Been thanked: 2 times
Contact:

Post by JL »

Thermals are good.
User avatar
JL
Posts: 2610
Joined: Thu May 22, 2003 8:57 am
Location: Saanichton / Shirley (French Beach)
Been thanked: 2 times
Contact:

Post by JL »

Possible 'La Nina' ?! This just in : http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/a ... odisc.html
Thermals are good.
User avatar
voodmon
Posts: 133
Joined: Sat Oct 18, 2003 8:57 am
Location: kook st village..victoria. BC

la nina

Post by voodmon »

well. i for one have my mistral pacifico, superfreak 6.3 and my paddle...hopefully....at least there will be waves somewhere.... :twisted:
Surfing outside of Platos cave, searching for Blue Skies.
User avatar
windcraver
Posts: 9
Joined: Mon Aug 28, 2006 4:27 pm
Location: nanaimo
Contact:

el nino

Post by windcraver »

well the last time we had an el nino so did Vela in Baja, Mexico and in Feb we got rained on for 10 days out of 14 - it SUCKED...did I mention the flooding?
User avatar
JL
Posts: 2610
Joined: Thu May 22, 2003 8:57 am
Location: Saanichton / Shirley (French Beach)
Been thanked: 2 times
Contact:

Post by JL »

Thermals are good.
User avatar
Martin
Posts: 188
Joined: Tue Aug 03, 2004 12:27 pm
Location: Sooke, Gordon's Beach

Post by Martin »

Hi Jl,

La Nina, hmmmm..cooling in the tropical pacific.
But Al Gore said.........

Looks good for this winter in Baja though!

martin
User avatar
JL
Posts: 2610
Joined: Thu May 22, 2003 8:57 am
Location: Saanichton / Shirley (French Beach)
Been thanked: 2 times
Contact:

Post by JL »

Al Gores personal empire (house travel etc) is enough to accelerate global warming. Never the less 'La Nina' is a short term event caused by immediate fluctuations in s. ocean temps. 8) It's interesting that while Al Gores message is right for the time he NEVER vocalized his concerns whilst in political office. Wouldn't want to ruffle the feathers of corporate America while they are contributing $$$$$$ to 'democracy' !!!
Thermals are good.
User avatar
KUS
Website Donor
Website Donor
Posts: 2783
Joined: Fri Jan 02, 2004 8:32 am
Been thanked: 2 times

Post by KUS »

even if your heart's in the right place ya gotta get the job first, JL 8)
Wish less, sail more!!
Vancouver Island Windsports
Chinook /Takuma /KA Australia (Tribal) /Aztron

You're either in or in the way....
Doing things the hard way since 1963....
User avatar
JL
Posts: 2610
Joined: Thu May 22, 2003 8:57 am
Location: Saanichton / Shirley (French Beach)
Been thanked: 2 times
Contact:

Post by JL »

Correct. :)
Thermals are good.
User avatar
more force 4
Sponsor
Sponsor
Posts: 1459
Joined: Wed Oct 15, 2003 8:57 am
Location: Victoria, BC
Has thanked: 23 times
Been thanked: 8 times
Contact:

Post by more force 4 »

Now I finally watched the movie this summer; seems to me he described starting up some of the Congressional committees and NOAA research that first had testimony/collected data on this several decades ago. I'd have to watch it again to be sure, but I'm not sure you've got the whole picture there Jl - sounds like spin doctors working to discredit are behind the rumour, and even if it were true you've got to give the guy credit for making it a topic the average American even talks about....

Son Roger was telling me that a lot of the monstrous houses at Whistler are actually pretty 'green', being build to heat/cool with geothermal. Seems like a good idea (but then I thought biodiesel and alchohol in the gas were good too when I first heard about them); has anyone ever calculated the carbon impact of running a drill rig to punch a few 400 ft deep holes compared to heating with oil? I would think over the life of a house it would be pretty good.
Post Reply